While the Big Ten will safely send Michigan State, Illinois, Purdue, and Ohio State to the NCAA tournament, there are teams fighting for their right to party postseason style: Michigan, Minnesota, Penn State, and Wisconsin.
Current standings through Feb. 28:
Big Ten, Conf, All, RPI
(9) Michigan State, 12-3, 22-5, 5
(20) Illinois, 11-5, 23-6, 16
(16) Purdue, 10-5, 21-7, 23
Ohio St., 8-7, 18-8, 43
Penn St., 8-7, 19-9, 62
Wisconsin, 8-7, 17-10, 27
Minnesota, 8-8, 20-8, 37
Michigan, 8-8, 18-11, 56
Northwestern, 6-9, 15-11, 78
Iowa, 4-11, 14-14, 103
Indiana, 1-14, 6-21, 194
In part two of this blog we're going to take a look at the Big Ten's bubble teams. Today we will look at the Minnesota Golden Gophers.
Minnesota: Big Ten (8-8), Overall (20-8), RPI (37).
- Key wins: Louisville, Ohio State, and Illinois.
- 3-4 against top 25 teams at the time and 3-6 on the road in the Big Ten.
- Strength of schedule: 52
- Minnesota hasn't won on the road since they beat Indiana on Jan. 25.
- The Golden Gophers are just 4-6 against teams with a top 50 RPI
Wed, Mar 4 - Wisconsin, 8:30 pm
Sun, Mar 8 - Michigan, TBA
The Golden Gophers went 12-0 in non-conference games, including a win over (9) Louisville, but have fallen off the map in the Big Ten. Tubby Smith has certainly turned the face of Minnesota basketball around, but after starting 16-1, his crew has has lost its touch. The NCAA tournament committee heavily bases a teams resume off the last 12 games. With two games left, the Gophers are 5-7 in their last 12. That leaves a chance for Smith's squad to potentially finish 4-8. What Minnesota has going for them is a fairly strong RPI and a eight-loss record. However, Without the win against Louisville, Minnesota doesn't have a standout win on the road.
In or Out: Out
Its great that Tubby Smith has led Minnesota to their first back-to-back 20 win seasons in the teams history. It's also the 16th consecutive season his team has won 20+ games. However, I just don't see them winning their final two conference contests. Unless Minnesota wins their final two at home against Wisconsin and Michigan, and at least 1 game in the Big Ten tournament, the Golden Gophers won't be going dancing. More importantly - game by game - Minnesota needs scoring. When Minnesota started 16-1 they scored about 72.5 ppg, but are since just putting up 59.8 per game.
Who can send the Golden Gophers dancing: Lawrence Westbrook
- Westbrook averages just 8.8 ppg, but Minnesota is 9-1 when he leads the team in scoring this season. When Westbrook scores 10 or more points, the Golden Gophers are 16-4.
_______________
*Source for RPI and SOS: CollegeRPI.com (released Feb. 22).